What each volcano alert level actually means
Normal, advisory, watch and warning: what decides each step, what you should do at each one and why the aviation colour code is a separate scale.
When an observatory announces that a volcano has moved to “watch”, most people take away two things: something changed, and it sounds bad. What almost nobody knows is which specific decision belongs to that step, or why the same volcano sometimes carries two different colour labels on the same day.
The four steps on the ground
The USGS uses a four-level scale for the hazards that affect people living around a volcano.
| Level | What is happening | What it means for you |
|---|---|---|
| Normal | Typical background activity, no sign of change | Know your route and your hazard map |
| Advisory | Activity above known background, or easing down from a higher level | Check bag, fuel and contacts |
| Watch | Escalating unrest with increased eruption potential, or an eruption underway with limited hazards | Bag ready, plan agreed, follow the notices |
| Warning | Hazardous eruption imminent, underway or suspected, with significant threats | Leave as local authorities direct |
The aviation scale runs separately, and it is not talking to you
In parallel, the same volcano carries an aviation colour code — green, yellow, orange, red — describing ash in the atmosphere. It exists because volcanic ash melts inside jet engines and can shut them down, so airlines need their own signal.
The two scales often move together, but not always. A volcano can sit at aviation orange because of an ash plume heading toward a flight corridor while the ground level stays at watch, because none of it is falling on towns.
If you read a notice and see two labels, look at the one that matches your situation: on the ground, the alert level; in the air, the colour.
What to do at each step
At normal. This is when you do the boring work: find your volcano’s hazard map, learn whether your house sits in a valley draining it, and agree where the family meets if phones are down.
At advisory. Check what you should already have. Fuel tank above half, bag packed, medication counted, respirators in the house. Nobody needs to sleep elsewhere yet.
At watch. This is where decisions get made with a clear head, because there is still time. Anyone with limited mobility, a late pregnancy or dependence on powered medical equipment should leave at this step rather than the next: at the next one the roads are already full.
At warning. You do what local authorities say, by the route they name. This is not the moment to be deciding anything.
Where to see your volcano’s level
Observatories publish the level of every monitored volcano and update it with each notice. The ZonaProtec monitor shows the current level of USGS-monitored volcanoes near the point you search, with its aviation code and a link to the observatory notice that issued it.
- Lahars: the volcanic hazard that travels down the valley The deadliest volcanic hazard of the last century is not lava: it is mud moving down a valley, sometimes with no eruption and under a clear sky.
- What to do when volcanic ash is falling Volcanic ash is ground glass, not smoke. How to protect your lungs, your roof and your car while it falls, and what not to do when cleaning it up.
Gear that covers this
Products that match what the guide above recommends.
Affiliate disclosure: As an Amazon Associate we earn from qualifying purchases. This does not change the price you pay or the recommendations we make.
- View on Amazon
Battery or hand-crank radio
Level changes go out on local radio before any other channel, and keep arriving if the power grid drops.
- View on Amazon
A packed 72-hour bag
There may be only hours between watch and warning. A bag already packed turns that decision into walking out the door instead of packing.
Frequently asked questions
What is the difference between watch and warning?
Watch means activity has escalated and eruption potential has increased, or an eruption is underway with limited hazards. Warning is the step where a hazardous eruption is imminent, underway or suspected, with significant threats. Watch is when you get ready; warning is when you act.
Why are there two scales at the same time?
Because there are two audiences. The alert level — normal, advisory, watch, warning — describes ground hazards. The aviation colour code — green, yellow, orange, red — describes ash in the air and is used by airlines. A volcano can sit at aviation orange because of its ash plume while nothing changes for the people living beside it.
Does a low level mean I can relax?
It means today's activity is within what is normal for that volcano, not that nothing will happen. Levels rise with observed activity, and some volcanoes go from advisory to warning within hours.
Who decides the level?
The volcano observatory monitoring that volcano, based on earthquakes, ground deformation, gas emissions and direct observation. It is not set by an automatic model or by a political authority.